Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +136 BELL -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 231 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -2.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.7 (+59.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -1.8 (+4.8) | 155.3 (+75.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.6 (+3.6) | 152.6 (+78.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.2 (+5.2) | 157.8 (+73.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.1 (+5.1) | 159.0 (+72.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNF 95 – 88 BELL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNF 98 – 83 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNF 71 – 63 BELL |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BELL 76 – 74 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2023 | UNF 79 – 67 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 83.3 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#344) | -7.5 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#342) | -1.41 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#341) | -1.86 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#321) | 0.438 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 59.4% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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