We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNF -5.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money BELL +195 / UNF -230
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual UNF +15 181 Lost
Massey UNF -5.3 (-9.7)
Massey Totals 170.1 (+10.9)
Bradley-Terry 7%
Weighted B-T 6%
Efficiency Plus ML UNF -6.6 (-8.4) 160.9 (+20.1) 36%
Baseline Tuned ML UNF -6.4 (-8.6) 160.6 (+20.4) 27%
Baseline ML UNF -7.0 (-8.0) 159.9 (+21.1) 25%
Baseline Plus ML UNF -7.1 (-7.9) 158.0 (+23.0) 26%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 UNF 117114 BELL
Feb 7, 2025 UNF 9588 BELL
Jan 25, 2024 UNF 7163 BELL
Feb 28, 2023 BELL 7674 UNF
Feb 25, 2023 UNF 7967 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL UNF
Overall 5-26 15-17
Conference 2-16 8-10
Home 5-10 8-6
Away 0-16 7-10
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 70.9 80.9
Avg Pts Against 81.3 85.7
Massey -14.0 (#352) -4.7 (#249)
Bradley-Terry -3.73 (#360) -0.39 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.24 (#357) -0.58 (#207)
RPI 0.331 (#364) 0.504 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL UNF
FG% 44.0% 42.2%
3PT% 34.4% 32.4%
REB / G 28.0 35.5
OREB / G 6.4 11.6
AST / TO 0.99 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 50.6%
TOV% 20.1% 14.5%
ORB% 20.7% 27.9%
FT Rate 22.2% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.7% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 14.4%
DRB% 68.3% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 24.2%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.