Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +195 UNF -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +15 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -5.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -7.1 (-7.9) | 158.0 (+23.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -6.6 (-8.4) | 160.9 (+20.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -6.4 (-8.6) | 160.6 (+20.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -7.0 (-8.0) | 159.9 (+21.1) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNF 117 – 114 BELL |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNF 95 – 88 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNF 71 – 63 BELL |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BELL 76 – 74 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2023 | UNF 79 – 67 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#352) | -4.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.73 (#360) | -0.39 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.24 (#357) | -0.58 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.331 (#364) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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