Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -188 BELL +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -4.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -3.1 (+8.9) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -2.5 (+9.5) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -3.1 (+8.9) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -3.2 (+8.8) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNF 117 – 114 BELL |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNF 95 – 88 BELL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNF 98 – 83 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNF 71 – 63 BELL |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BELL 76 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#247) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#198) | -0.26 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#192) | -0.59 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#175) | 0.490 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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