Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +114 MOST -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -1.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -1.1 (-3.9) | 136.9 (-17.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -0.3 (-4.7) | 135.7 (-16.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -0.4 (-4.6) | 138.0 (-19.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -0.4 (-4.6) | 137.7 (-18.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MOST 79 – 55 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#261) | -1.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#276) | -0.18 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#265) | -0.14 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.492 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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