Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -162 UGA +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +20 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -2.4 (+22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.0 (+19.0) | 165.0 (-11.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.9 (+20.9) | 165.2 (-11.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.9 (+20.9) | 166.8 (-12.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.4 (+21.4) | 167.0 (-13.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UGA 91 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UGA 83 – 67 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#39) | 18.9 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#71) | 2.75 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#54) | 3.96 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#125) | 0.601 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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