Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UK -650 MISS +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UK -13.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -11.7 (-2.7) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -12.4 (-3.4) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -12.7 (-3.7) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -12.1 (-3.1) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | MISS 98 – 84 UK |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UK 75 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 1, 2023 | UK 75 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 2, 2022 | UK 83 – 72 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2021 | MISS 70 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#26) | 7.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#37) | 1.22 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#37) | 1.60 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#53) | 0.534 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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