Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UK -17.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -16.2 (-5.2) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -14.0 (-3.0) | 146.8 (+8.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -15.8 (-4.8) | 147.3 (+7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -15.1 (-4.1) | 147.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MISS 98 – 84 UK |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UK 75 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 1, 2023 | UK 75 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2021 | MISS 70 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 10-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#3) | 5.1 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#10) | 0.75 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#7) | 1.02 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#8) | 0.503 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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