Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -138 UK +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -2.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -3.1 (+4.9) | 132.8 (-0.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -2.7 (+5.3) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -3.9 (+4.1) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -3.6 (+4.4) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MISS 98 – 84 UK |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UK 75 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 1, 2023 | UK 75 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 2, 2022 | UK 83 – 72 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#58) | 9.6 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#71) | 1.02 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#70) | 1.82 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#94) | 0.540 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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