Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UK -450 MISS +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UK -8.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -6.6 (+5.4) | 159.6 (-21.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -7.2 (+4.8) | 158.4 (-20.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -6.4 (+5.6) | 161.3 (-23.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -6.4 (+5.6) | 159.5 (-21.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 MISS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MISS 98 – 84 UK |
| Feb 1, 2023 | UK 75 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 2, 2022 | UK 83 – 72 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2021 | MISS 70 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#21) | 8.2 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#44) | 2.51 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#42) | 2.86 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#63) | 0.614 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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