Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LUC +180 DUQ -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +12 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -8.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.9 (-5.1) | 153.8 (-23.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | DUQ -5.3 (-6.7) | 153.1 (-23.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | DUQ -7.3 (-4.7) | 150.5 (-20.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -7.6 (-4.4) | 152.6 (-22.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | DUQ 69 – 56 LUC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LUC 72 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 26, 2023 | DUQ 72 – 58 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#302) | 2.4 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#315) | -0.12 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#329) | -0.07 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#318) | 0.504 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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