Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -333 LUC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -11.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -9.7 (+4.3) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -8.4 (+5.6) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -11.4 (+2.6) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -10.0 (+4.0) | 142.3 (-12.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DUQ 71 – 59 LUC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DUQ 69 – 56 LUC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LUC 72 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#130) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#121) | -0.92 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#127) | -1.04 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.445 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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