I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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75–47 on winners spread MAE 9.0 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Kansas +7.8 152.5 74% 62–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +13.9 141.9 89% 51–78 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul +4.3 140.1 65% 75–80 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -3.2 143.7 34% 71–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Boise State +5.0 141.0 73% 73–79 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -11.2 143.3 19% 64–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +15.6 139.6 89% 67–77 ✓
Virginia @ SMU +1.6 152.2 56% 72–68 ✗
Kentucky @ Tennessee +5.2 145.6 74% 80–78 ✗
Butler @ Seton Hall +2.9 139.4 63% 77–66 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +4.2 141.1 71% 76–89 ✓
Georgia Tech @ NC State +14.3 154.0 89% 78–74 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Canisius -1.3 131.4 42% 78–68 ✓
Elon @ Hofstra +6.1 147.6 72% 89–85 ✗
Duquesne @ Fordham +0.6 141.9 54% 74–63 ✗
Alabama @ Oklahoma -3.3 179.6 35% 83–81 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +5.5 143.5 76% 74–86 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette -0.1 136.1 47% 55–74 ✗
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -3.2 148.8 36% 57–74 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +8.5 136.3 78% 79–85 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) +13.1 155.9 88% 102–105 ✓
Wagner @ New Haven +1.9 131.3 59% 74–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina +0.4 146.9 60% 90–82 ✗
Old Dominion @ App State +5.0 135.5 73% 75–73 ✗
Iowa State @ Cincinnati -6.9 138.6 24% 70–79 ✗
Florida @ Vanderbilt +5.5 163.4 72% 98–94 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State +5.3 144.5 72% 62–88 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +8.4 135.1 81% 76–95 ✓
TCU @ Utah -6.2 150.7 27% 79–82 ✗
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +13.5 150.9 87% 87–96 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +3.2 138.5 62% 74–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville -3.6 145.7 32% 69–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb -7.4 140.2 21% 92–55 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +9.9 133.7 84% 58–69 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College -5.3 136.8 36% 73–81 ✗
Navy @ Lehigh -3.3 136.4 41% 82–79 ✓
Columbia @ Brown -3.8 134.9 34% 80–86 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State +3.6 148.0 67% 65–68 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota -0.6 158.5 50% 80–96 ✗
Cornell @ Yale +11.5 160.8 85% 68–102 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State -6.6 150.6 32% 78–80 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +1.4 158.4 51% 80–77 ✗
Western Michigan @ Akron +16.7 156.8 89% 89–104 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +9.1 134.5 80% 67–82 ✓
Siena @ Manhattan -6.4 139.0 31% 74–59 ✓
Princeton @ Harvard +3.8 132.4 62% 80–87 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst +4.7 128.0 63% 62–57 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis -9.2 140.1 20% 98–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -2.1 140.0 39% 72–57 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford -4.7 141.8 33% 76–75 ✓
West Georgia @ Florida Gulf Coast +9.1 154.3 82% 72–90 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -7.9 161.3 24% 87–81 ✓
North Florida @ Central Arkansas +9.7 159.5 85% 69–98 ✓
Sam Houston @ Florida International -1.8 158.6 48% 76–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Delaware -6.8 134.1 26% 97–68 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +6.5 137.9 77% 59–69 ✓
Utah State @ Grand Canyon -6.3 139.7 25% 74–84 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -3.8 140.5 30% 74–78 ✗
Longwood @ Radford +3.4 151.5 66% 83–85 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.1 129.1 46% 44–54 ✗
Drake @ UIC +2.7 138.2 64% 67–74 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack -1.7 135.7 42% 71–83 ✗
Massachusetts @ Northern Illinois -7.3 147.1 27% 68–70 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +3.1 152.4 65% 84–74 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +4.1 153.7 70% 79–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +1.0 131.4 57% 90–68 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +4.3 161.4 74% 81–65 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +12.0 135.7 85% 69–80 ✓
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -4.1 152.5 30% 77–57 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +4.4 145.7 66% 70–78 ✓
Arizona @ UCF -4.9 156.4 30% 84–77 ✓
Michigan @ Oregon -10.6 153.6 19% 81–71 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern -3.4 146.0 39% 77–58 ✓
North Carolina @ California -4.0 144.8 39% 78–84 ✗
Arkansas @ Georgia +5.6 171.5 74% 76–90 ✓
Indiana State @ Murray State +13.0 161.4 87% 81–85 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +1.3 145.1 53% 72–71 ✗
Richmond @ Saint Louis +15.5 155.7 88% 63–88 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State -3.5 155.1 35% 78–82 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -15.3 134.8 12% 81–66 ✓
Charleston @ Stony Brook -2.1 136.9 40% 106–112 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro -7.0 157.0 32% 102–92 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -9.3 144.5 20% 83–62 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +3.1 136.9 64% 90–80 ✗
Louisiana @ South Alabama +11.1 128.7 84% 59–56 ✗
James Madison @ Marshall +6.0 147.0 76% 72–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech +0.9 139.0 48% 76–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +8.5 133.1 81% 79–86 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +8.3 135.3 79% 74–86 ✓
Howard @ North Carolina Central -2.9 132.8 43% 83–69 ✓
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State -6.1 134.6 24% 89–82 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State +3.7 130.4 63% 80–79 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +12.9 134.9 87% 67–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.6 132.6 73% 56–68 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian +3.0 136.1 71% 70–81 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +4.1 159.2 69% 74–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -0.9 142.4 47% 67–74 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee State +9.0 145.0 82% 67–73 ✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin +5.5 139.6 74% 55–69 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +4.3 139.2 70% 68–55 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -0.8 147.4 50% 76–62 ✓
Southern @ Grambling +3.4 151.1 68% 71–53 ✗
Wofford @ Furman +7.3 146.9 78% 74–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -0.2 147.3 46% 72–75 ✗
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +7.5 137.3 78% 74–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +10.2 139.6 84% 52–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +3.2 128.3 64% 60–64 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +12.9 147.4 86% 62–90 ✓
McNeese @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.7 140.4 16% 76–79 ✗
Purdue @ USC -5.3 149.0 23% 69–64 ✓
Duke @ Stanford -7.9 144.8 18% 80–50 ✓
Michigan State @ Washington -3.1 138.4 32% 80–63 ✓
Pacific @ Oregon State -1.8 139.2 52% 81–64 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +5.4 139.4 74% 61–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State -1.8 156.9 44% 69–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans -6.9 143.1 28% 84–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State +8.9 149.1 83% 84–66 ✗
Texas A&M @ Texas +4.9 168.2 74% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina @ Auburn +11.0 150.3 84% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee +9.7 137.2 83% 87–90 ✓
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.1 151.2 64% 71–67 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -11.1 144.5 15% 79–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.