Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–11 on winners spread MAE 8.4 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Youngstown State @ Wright State +6.7 143.0 75% 83–93 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee -0.9 157.7 54% 73–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +8.8 152.7 79% 71–96 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State -3.1 146.6 48% 88–73 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +10.2 129.9 86% 62–67 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern -1.1 157.6 46% 78–85 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ William & Mary +10.7 151.9 86% 89–97 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth +3.4 130.0 64% 73–51 ✗
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -8.0 134.1 22% 71–76 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +10.5 147.8 87% 66–69 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +3.6 155.1 67% 84–87 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson +0.9 149.2 54% 86–95 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.9 163.0 68% 85–74 ✗
North Florida @ North Alabama +8.4 151.3 81% 105–91 ✗
UTEP @ Delaware +2.0 131.5 53% 70–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas +6.2 141.4 75% 60–62 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota +6.5 151.1 78% 83–99 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota -7.8 147.3 21% 91–80 ✓
Charleston @ Towson +2.5 134.5 61% 52–61 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -0.9 146.9 41% 87–91 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay +7.6 152.0 82% 72–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +12.4 152.1 87% 71–81 ✓
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian -0.4 134.2 45% 74–58 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +7.7 132.4 78% 59–65 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +7.9 143.7 79% 100–105 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock +2.6 132.1 62% 63–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -9.0 146.8 21% 105–106 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +2.8 149.2 68% 67–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +4.5 159.9 77% 69–74 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +3.9 147.4 67% 68–76 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +7.2 157.3 80% 80–91 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +5.1 140.9 73% 71–54 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +5.1 149.5 74% 88–76 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -1.2 135.1 42% 56–52 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield -3.0 143.8 49% 75–69 ✓
San Diego @ Seattle U +9.5 145.7 85% 64–75 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +2.0 141.8 61% 73–88 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly -5.9 147.3 34% 86–66 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +11.7 153.4 86% 84–79 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State +2.6 149.8 65% 73–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +0.8 147.5 55% 69–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Washington State -12.9 152.7 13% 86–65 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +0.6 160.1 50% 88–93 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +4.3 158.4 77% 84–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.