Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -500 USD +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -10.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -9.5 (+1.5) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.1 (+2.9) | 141.2 (-2.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.7 (+2.3) | 142.5 (-3.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.0 (+2.0) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SEA 58 – 56 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | -3.3 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#107) | -0.63 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#108) | -0.81 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#126) | 0.454 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 60.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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