Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -1200 ME +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -14.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -10.9 (-5.9) | 133.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -10.2 (-5.2) | 129.9 (-0.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.4 (-7.4) | 130.7 (-1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.1 (-6.1) | 132.0 (-3.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UVM 68 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#200) | -12.9 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -2.77 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#187) | -3.43 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#190) | 0.392 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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