Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -145 ME +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +6 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | ME -3.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -3.3 (+9.3) | 126.3 (-22.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -1.9 (+7.9) | 129.2 (-25.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -3.1 (+9.1) | 130.4 (-26.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -3.3 (+9.3) | 128.7 (-24.7) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UVM 68 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#289) | -1.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#242) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#244) | -0.21 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#217) | 0.502 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.