Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | ME +310 UVM -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -6.7 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.8 (+12.8) | 129.0 (+17.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -7.1 (+13.1) | 129.2 (+16.8) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -6.8 (+12.8) | 131.2 (+14.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.0 (+12.0) | 130.1 (+15.9) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UVM 68 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#342) | -3.5 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#352) | -0.50 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#352) | -0.49 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#352) | 0.481 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 27.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.