Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -625 BELL +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -10.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -10.4 (-0.4) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -12.4 (-2.4) | 152.1 (-0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.6 (+0.4) | 153.1 (-1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -10.0 (+0.0) | 154.0 (-2.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIP 81 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 83.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#158) | -7.1 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#163) | -1.67 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#150) | -2.15 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.425 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 27.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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