Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -6000 BELL +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -25.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -20.7 (-13.7) | 145.0 (+22.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -18.7 (-11.7) | 144.5 (+22.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -19.4 (-12.4) | 144.5 (+22.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -21.1 (-14.1) | 144.2 (+22.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIP 81 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 10-6 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#89) | -15.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -3.91 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#124) | -4.45 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.334 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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