Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -600 BELL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +16 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -12.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -11.6 (+4.4) | 148.5 (+15.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -9.8 (+6.2) | 148.2 (+15.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -10.6 (+5.4) | 148.3 (+15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -10.4 (+5.6) | 149.6 (+14.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIP 81 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -9.4 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#152) | -1.76 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#164) | -2.12 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#138) | 0.417 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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