Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +150 LIP -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.1 (-5.9) | 145.0 (+6.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.4 (-5.6) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.1 (-5.9) | 142.7 (+8.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.1 (-5.9) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 11-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-16 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#289) | 1.1 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#322) | 0.19 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#300) | 0.05 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#264) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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