Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +142 LIP -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -3.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -3.9 (+0.9) | 156.4 (-9.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.5 (-1.5) | 154.6 (-7.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.1 (-0.9) | 155.1 (-8.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.1 (-1.9) | 157.1 (-10.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIP 81 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#280) | -1.2 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#284) | -0.19 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#280) | -0.26 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#298) | 0.532 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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