Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTU -118 UTA -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +4 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -0.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -1.2 (-2.8) | 135.1 (-27.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.4 (-3.6) | 134.9 (-26.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -0.4 (-3.6) | 136.7 (-28.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -0.4 (-3.6) | 135.1 (-27.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UTA 63 – 50 UTU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UTU 87 – 84 UTA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTA 73 – 71 UTU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTU 74 – 62 UTA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTA 89 – 78 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#207) | 1.7 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#177) | 0.91 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#171) | 1.02 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#166) | 0.548 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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