Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -600 UTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -9.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -7.8 (-5.8) | 143.2 (+0.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -8.9 (-6.9) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -7.2 (-5.2) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -6.7 (-4.7) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UTA 63 – 50 UTU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UTU 87 – 84 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTA 56 – 52 UTU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTU 74 – 62 UTA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTA 89 – 78 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 2-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#208) | -8.6 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#233) | -1.54 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#227) | -1.79 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#240) | 0.421 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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