Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UTA -600 UTU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +11 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -10.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -8.9 (+2.1) | 147.7 (+19.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -8.7 (+2.3) | 148.5 (+18.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -9.0 (+2.0) | 147.6 (+19.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -9.4 (+1.6) | 148.7 (+18.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UTA 63 – 50 UTU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UTU 87 – 84 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTA 56 – 52 UTU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTA 73 – 71 UTU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTU 74 – 62 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#158) | -6.3 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -0.78 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | -0.90 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#168) | 0.458 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.