They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–23 on winners spread MAE 8.8 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Georgia +13.4 155.0 87% 97–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State -8.8 142.4 22% 89–94 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's -1.6 146.7 44% 64–68 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +7.3 142.7 81% 53–74 ✓
Davidson @ George Washington +10.8 144.8 85% 84–79 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +15.8 156.4 90% 71–82 ✓
Tulsa @ Charlotte -4.8 148.8 37% 86–74 ✓
Colorado @ Cincinnati +3.8 144.3 75% 68–77 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern +7.6 151.0 77% 86–81 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -1.9 135.3 36% 70–71 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb -8.6 158.8 18% 89–80 ✓
Iona @ Rider -9.0 139.0 19% 68–72 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -0.7 142.4 44% 89–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +7.2 141.4 78% 74–70 ✗
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -7.3 145.7 25% 86–80 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Siena +8.3 137.6 82% 86–80 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius +3.8 130.3 65% 59–54 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +5.9 150.3 69% 62–98 ✓
Furman @ Samford -1.8 144.3 42% 77–73 ✓
Southern Miss @ Troy +7.7 151.7 81% 65–91 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +9.6 145.1 83% 85–83 ✗
Auburn @ Missouri -1.4 155.3 35% 74–84 ✗
Kentucky @ LSU +1.3 149.5 56% 75–74 ✗
Florida International @ Kennesaw State +3.4 160.1 72% 86–89 ✓
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State -2.6 144.5 40% 77–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +4.0 135.3 63% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ Tulane -1.5 143.3 55% 82–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Western Kentucky +5.8 147.1 75% 72–87 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -6.3 131.3 26% 58–59 ✗
San Diego State @ Wyoming +2.9 147.3 68% 74–57 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois +4.2 145.3 68% 76–73 ✗
Fordham @ Saint Louis +17.0 143.8 90% 56–78 ✓
Rice @ UTSA -4.4 137.5 31% 89–73 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +8.7 142.4 81% 53–55 ✓
UCF @ Kansas State +1.1 158.7 52% 82–73 ✗
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +6.9 148.5 76% 65–76 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +6.3 131.8 70% 54–59 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -7.7 146.1 21% 79–68 ✓
UCLA @ Penn State -2.4 144.0 38% 71–60 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas -2.4 163.0 35% 64–80 ✗
North Carolina @ Stanford -3.3 140.6 44% 90–95 ✗
Utah @ Texas Tech +15.6 157.7 88% 74–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +11.4 156.2 83% 74–108 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +0.2 141.8 47% 63–67 ✓
Virginia Tech @ SMU +11.0 159.0 80% 76–77 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +4.5 149.0 67% 87–98 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +11.7 144.5 85% 62–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +14.6 147.2 88% 69–85 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Oregon State -0.3 141.9 53% 70–76 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +17.3 160.2 90% 82–89 ✓
Michigan @ Washington -11.8 154.3 19% 82–72 ✓
Duke @ California -10.2 146.3 17% 71–56 ✓
TCU @ BYU +11.4 154.6 85% 70–76 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +7.2 147.2 82% 73–64 ✗
UMBC @ Bryant -1.2 134.0 44% 74–79 ✗
Mercer @ VMI -10.6 150.2 18% 77–67 ✓
New Mexico State @ Liberty +6.9 142.8 76% 71–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -5.8 152.4 27% 93–96 ✗
Binghamton @ UAlbany +9.0 139.1 81% 53–69 ✓
James Madison @ App State +2.8 136.5 68% 65–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.