Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -395 COLO +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -4.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.8 (+5.2) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -3.5 (+5.5) | 142.4 (+2.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -3.5 (+5.5) | 144.0 (+1.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -3.5 (+5.5) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | CIN 68 – 62 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#69) | 7.9 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#133) | 1.73 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#107) | 2.38 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#144) | 0.564 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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