Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +150 CIN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -1.6 (-4.4) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -1.0 (-5.0) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -1.0 (-5.0) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -1.5 (-4.5) | 132.5 (-2.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | CIN 77 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#86) | 13.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#58) | 1.23 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#67) | 1.80 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#128) | 0.535 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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