The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · January 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 175.5 Under
Money KENN -238 / FIU +195
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +3 175 Won
Massey KENN -3.4 (-0.4)
Massey Totals 175.4 (-0.4)
Bradley-Terry 67%
Weighted B-T 64%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -3.4 (-0.4) 160.1 (+14.9) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -2.6 (+0.4) 160.2 (+14.8) 64%
Baseline ML KENN -2.1 (+0.9) 160.8 (+14.2) 61%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -2.2 (+0.8) 161.3 (+13.7) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 FIU 7661 KENN
Feb 1, 2025 KENN 7367 FIU
Nov 26, 2023 FIU 9184 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN FIU
Overall 21-14 15-17
Conference 10-10 8-12
Home 13-3 12-6
Away 4-8 3-10
Neutral 4-3 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 77.7
Avg Pts Against 78.2 79.1
Massey -0.6 (#180) -0.5 (#178)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#192) -0.34 (#207)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#200) -0.31 (#194)
RPI 0.474 (#222) 0.490 (#194)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN FIU
FG% 43.0% 45.9%
3PT% 30.5% 33.8%
REB / G 42.3 35.0
OREB / G 15.3 12.4
AST / TO 0.94 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 51.7%
TOV% 18.8% 17.0%
ORB% 38.0% 33.8%
FT Rate 31.9% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 20.4%
DRB% 70.2% 62.3%
Opp FT Rate 37.2% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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