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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 10.1 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan State +7.5 143.7 78% 60–81 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +5.6 152.3 73% 79–70 ✗
Boston College @ Clemson +18.0 134.4 89% 50–74 ✓
Texas A&M @ Tennessee +7.8 158.8 74% 82–87 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +8.8 129.0 80% 69–61 ✗
George Mason @ Loyola Chicago -11.2 139.7 18% 82–74 ✓
Dayton @ Duquesne -2.2 152.5 37% 71–65 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -0.2 143.1 43% 78–75 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame -1.8 139.3 50% 81–69 ✓
Massachusetts @ Western Michigan -1.7 151.4 45% 85–82 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +3.3 153.7 67% 85–101 ✓
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +16.1 152.3 89% 61–100 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +20.8 150.6 90% 77–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +11.1 145.5 85% 74–78 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall -3.2 130.0 36% 69–64 ✓
Bradley @ Evansville -7.2 139.6 22% 94–90 ✓
West Virginia @ Houston +11.9 130.7 85% 48–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +8.5 131.7 82% 55–57 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas -1.5 148.6 37% 63–84 ✗
Oregon @ Nebraska +11.1 146.5 85% 55–90 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State -5.8 180.2 28% 97–82 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma -1.9 153.8 36% 96–79 ✓
Colorado State @ Fresno State -5.1 134.7 35% 69–79 ✗
Baylor @ Oklahoma State +0.6 164.4 60% 94–79 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico +8.8 138.4 81% 64–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +11.6 150.8 85% 83–86 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +7.2 156.3 82% 86–94 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +10.4 129.8 86% 62–70 ✓
Maryland @ USC +9.5 149.6 81% 71–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco -3.1 137.9 33% 82–68 ✓
Boise State @ UNLV -3.4 143.6 35% 85–89 ✗
VCU @ Rhode Island -3.5 139.7 38% 84–75 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +2.8 141.5 62% 75–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +4.4 143.8 62% 93–91 ✗
Chattanooga @ Wofford +6.9 147.3 77% 76–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -8.4 145.8 21% 68–72 ✗
Iowa @ Purdue +9.9 135.9 76% 72–79 ✓
High Point @ Winthrop -3.1 158.4 35% 75–92 ✗
Butler @ Xavier -1.1 156.6 50% 75–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.