Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -310 GCU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -8.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -8.8 (+14.2) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -7.9 (+15.1) | 135.9 (+15.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -7.4 (+15.6) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -8.1 (+14.9) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UNM 70 – 64 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#44) | 7.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#37) | 1.11 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#41) | 1.55 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#32) | 0.530 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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