Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -130 UNM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -0.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -0.9 (-6.9) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.4 (-7.4) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.7 (-7.7) | 143.7 (-9.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.3 (-7.3) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNM 87 – 64 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 17-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#72) | 12.1 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | 1.97 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#69) | 2.64 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#85) | 0.583 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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