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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–6 on winners spread MAE 7.7 20 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Delaware State @ Howard	+8.8	125.9	80%	58–84	✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State	+6.8	148.2	83%	66–81	✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M	-2.2	138.8	47%	84–91	✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M	+4.0	162.6	79%	61–73	✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman	+2.4	157.2	65%	77–73	✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State	+6.2	129.1	73%	74–70	✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State	-1.2	137.6	42%	74–72	✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar	+7.1	131.4	73%	56–64	✓
Navy @ American University	+0.5	138.1	51%	51–65	✓
Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin	+9.4	137.9	81%	46–56	✓
New Orleans @ SE Louisiana	+1.5	138.9	62%	79–76	✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State	-1.9	140.9	48%	63–64	✗
Nicholls @ McNeese	+13.2	144.3	87%	68–94	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M	-5.2	137.5	32%	61–50	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern	+10.2	144.7	85%	51–84	✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M	+7.4	140.9	82%	91–100	✓
Villanova @ Providence	-3.8	153.7	34%	88–82	✓
Marquette @ St. John's	+15.1	155.3	89%	68–92	✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan	+8.8	137.2	84%	59–77	✓
Kent State @ Buffalo	+1.7	158.0	61%	87–81	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.