Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +170 AMCC -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +11 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -5.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -4.1 (-6.9) | 135.1 (-24.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -5.2 (-5.8) | 137.5 (-26.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -4.0 (-7.0) | 137.1 (-26.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -4.2 (-6.8) | 136.1 (-25.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | AMCC 84 – 71 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AMCC 86 – 63 ETAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | AMCC 69 – 54 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2023 | AMCC 93 – 88 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 13-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#296) | -0.1 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#260) | -0.52 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#268) | -0.25 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#229) | 0.490 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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