Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +200 AMCC -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +5 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -3.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.1 (-1.9) | 148.3 (+32.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.2 (-2.8) | 146.2 (+34.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -3.2 (-1.8) | 149.7 (+31.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.8 (-2.2) | 150.9 (+30.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | AMCC 84 – 71 ETAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMCC 61 – 50 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AMCC 86 – 63 ETAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | AMCC 69 – 54 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#303) | -0.9 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#287) | -0.28 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#311) | -0.33 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#280) | 0.500 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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