Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +120 AMCC -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +15 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -2.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.8 (-12.2) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AMCC -4.8 (-10.2) | 139.0 (-16.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AMCC -2.3 (-12.7) | 137.0 (-14.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.8 (-12.2) | 139.0 (-16.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | AMCC 84 – 71 ETAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMCC 61 – 50 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AMCC 86 – 63 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2023 | AMCC 93 – 88 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#307) | -2.8 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#305) | -0.61 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#311) | -0.87 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#277) | 0.471 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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