Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -410 ETAM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -10.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.5 (+4.5) | 132.0 (+23.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.8 (+3.2) | 133.9 (+21.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.9 (+4.1) | 134.3 (+20.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.3 (+4.7) | 133.5 (+21.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMCC 61 – 50 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AMCC 86 – 63 ETAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | AMCC 69 – 54 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2023 | AMCC 93 – 88 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 6-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#187) | -8.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#219) | -1.49 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#188) | -1.74 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#202) | 0.452 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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