Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -450 ETAM +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +23 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -12.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -10.1 (+12.9) | 135.1 (+13.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -11.2 (+11.8) | 136.7 (+12.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -10.3 (+12.7) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -9.8 (+13.2) | 135.7 (+13.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | AMCC 84 – 71 ETAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AMCC 61 – 50 ETAM |
| Feb 4, 2025 | AMCC 78 – 66 ETAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | AMCC 69 – 54 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2023 | AMCC 93 – 88 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#199) | -10.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#228) | -1.94 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#228) | -2.42 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#214) | 0.426 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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