Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | URI +136 VCU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -4.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.1 (-4.9) | 139.1 (+19.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.5 (-5.5) | 139.7 (+19.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.6 (-5.4) | 138.0 (+21.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.4 (-5.6) | 139.9 (+19.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2025 | VCU 81 – 57 URI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | VCU 88 – 67 URI |
| Feb 16, 2023 | VCU 55 – 54 URI |
| Feb 9, 2022 | VCU 73 – 64 URI |
| Feb 4, 2021 | VCU 63 – 62 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | 11.4 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#161) | 1.63 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#133) | 2.61 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.569 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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