Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | URI +250 VCU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +24 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -2.6 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -1.7 (-22.3) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.7 (-20.3) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.3 (-21.7) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -1.7 (-22.3) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | VCU 84 – 75 URI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | VCU 88 – 67 URI |
| Feb 16, 2023 | VCU 55 – 54 URI |
| Feb 9, 2022 | VCU 73 – 64 URI |
| Feb 4, 2021 | VCU 63 – 62 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#99) | 10.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#93) | 1.34 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#92) | 2.13 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#47) | 0.571 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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