Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | URI +310 VCU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +1 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -5.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -5.4 (+4.4) | 133.4 (-24.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.2 (+4.2) | 132.8 (-23.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.8 (+4.8) | 134.9 (-25.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.2 (+4.2) | 133.8 (-24.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | VCU 84 – 75 URI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VCU 81 – 57 URI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | VCU 88 – 67 URI |
| Feb 9, 2022 | VCU 73 – 64 URI |
| Feb 4, 2021 | VCU 63 – 62 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#222) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#248) | 1.29 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#248) | 1.40 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#248) | 0.579 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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