Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.0 (+3.0) | 127.0 (+10.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -7.2 (+1.8) | 123.7 (+13.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.4 (+3.6) | 126.2 (+10.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.3 (+2.7) | 128.1 (+8.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | VCU 84 – 75 URI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VCU 81 – 57 URI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | VCU 88 – 67 URI |
| Feb 16, 2023 | VCU 55 – 54 URI |
| Feb 4, 2021 | VCU 63 – 62 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#82) | 3.8 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#57) | 0.01 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#78) | 0.36 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#40) | 0.515 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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