Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | WIN +136 HPU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +17 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -4.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -5.1 (+22.1) | 160.5 (+6.5) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -3.1 (+20.1) | 158.4 (+8.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -4.6 (+21.6) | 157.8 (+9.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -5.8 (+22.8) | 158.1 (+8.9) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | HPU 91 – 76 WIN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | HPU 89 – 87 WIN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | HPU 81 – 69 WIN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HPU 88 – 66 WIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HPU 84 – 62 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Home | 13-1 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | 9.0 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 0.59 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#198) | 0.70 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#144) | 0.511 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.