Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | WMU +195 MASS -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -1.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.7 (-1.3) | 151.4 (+15.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.6 (-2.4) | 149.2 (+17.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.4 (-2.6) | 150.3 (+16.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.3 (-2.7) | 154.1 (+12.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#247) | -0.4 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | -0.22 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#203) | -0.17 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.475 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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