Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -650 TA&M +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -7.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -6.9 (-1.9) | 158.9 (+10.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -7.8 (-2.8) | 158.8 (+10.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.5 (-2.5) | 160.4 (+8.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.2 (-1.2) | 158.4 (+10.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
| Mar 13, 2022 | TENN 65 – 50 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#22) | 13.6 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#40) | 2.57 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#38) | 2.97 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.569 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 43.5% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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