Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -700 TA&M +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +35 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -12.2 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.9 (+22.1) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.6 (+23.4) | 144.0 (-7.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.5 (+21.5) | 144.1 (-7.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -12.5 (+22.5) | 146.1 (-9.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
| Mar 13, 2022 | TENN 65 – 50 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#8) | 9.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#4) | 1.49 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#5) | 2.06 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#3) | 0.556 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 18.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 43.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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