Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -125 TENN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -4.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -0.2 (+5.2) | 132.7 (-1.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -1.1 (+6.1) | 130.5 (+0.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -0.8 (+5.8) | 130.8 (+0.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -0.8 (+5.8) | 131.9 (-0.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Mar 13, 2022 | TENN 65 – 50 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#32) | 19.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#33) | 2.45 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#42) | 3.15 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#43) | 0.615 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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