Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -130 TENN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -1.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -0.4 (-7.6) | 130.7 (+15.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -0.7 (-7.3) | 130.0 (+16.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -0.2 (-8.2) | 131.9 (+14.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -0.6 (-7.4) | 131.7 (+14.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
| Mar 13, 2022 | TENN 65 – 50 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#20) | 22.0 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#8) | 3.93 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#12) | 5.10 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#7) | 0.648 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 15.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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