Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -280 TA&M +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -7.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.6 (+9.4) | 135.2 (-20.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.9 (+9.1) | 133.8 (-18.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -5.4 (+9.6) | 136.7 (-21.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -5.8 (+9.2) | 134.2 (-19.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 16-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#7) | 10.3 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#7) | 2.12 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#11) | 2.57 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#6) | 0.561 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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