Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -290 UIC +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -10.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -8.8 (-16.8) | 129.0 (+1.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -8.6 (-16.6) | 126.4 (+3.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -9.4 (-17.4) | 126.0 (+4.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -8.5 (-16.5) | 130.0 (+0.0) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNI 60 – 54 UIC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNI 74 – 52 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UIC 71 – 65 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#98) | -0.6 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#103) | -0.92 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#108) | -0.84 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#84) | 0.464 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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